EPC rating and sold prices in W11 (Kensington and Chelsea)
In postcode district W11 (Kensington and Chelsea), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 14% less per square metre than D–G homes (median £13,991 vs £16,314, 2,199 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is −2.4% (95% range −5.7% to +0.9%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 0 of 4 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 75 m² against 96 m² for D–G; both groups are most often built before 1900; 2% of C+ and 5% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | −14% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | −32.0% | −37.1% to −26.4% |
| Same floor area | −7.8% | −10.9% to −4.7% |
| + same property type | −6.9% | −10.0% to −3.6% |
| + same build period | −2.2% | −5.4% to +1.2% |
| + same year of sale | −2.4% | −5.7% to +0.9% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in W11
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W11 1 | 512 | −15% | +1.1% | −3.5% to +6.0% |
| W11 2 | 613 | −13% | −4.9% | −10.1% to +0.6% |
| W11 3 | 568 | −7% | +1.3% | −5.7% to +8.8% |
| W11 4 | 506 | −17% | −6.9% | −13.5% to +0.2% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in W11
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 6 | too few |
| B | 102 | £15,602 |
| C | 709 | £13,657 |
| D | 935 | £15,981 |
| E | 385 | £16,970 |
| F | 49 | £18,443 |
| G | 13 | £15,441 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.