EPC rating and sold prices in W10 (Kensington and Chelsea)
In postcode district W10 (Kensington and Chelsea), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 9% less per square metre than D–G homes (median £9,533 vs £10,503, 1,847 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is −1.9% (95% range −5.4% to +1.7%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 0 of 3 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 68 m² against 81 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and before 1900 for D–G; 1% of C+ and 3% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | −9% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | −24.7% | −28.7% to −20.6% |
| Same floor area | −10.9% | −13.4% to −8.3% |
| + same property type | −9.2% | −12.1% to −6.3% |
| + same build period | −1.0% | −4.5% to +2.6% |
| + same year of sale | −1.9% | −5.4% to +1.7% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in W10
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 4 | 691 | −13% | −0.5% | −4.4% to +3.6% |
| W10 5 | 562 | −2% | 0.0% | −6.4% to +6.9% |
| W10 6 | 594 | −11% | +1.2% | −4.7% to +7.5% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in W10
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 3 | too few |
| B | 480 | £9,626 |
| C | 426 | £9,351 |
| D | 713 | £10,389 |
| E | 192 | £10,690 |
| F | 32 | £9,855 |
| G | 1 | too few |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.