EPC rating and sold prices in ST7 (Newcastle-under-Lyme)
In postcode district ST7 (Newcastle-under-Lyme), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 21% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £2,437 vs £2,014, 10,369 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is +1.1% (95% range −0.3% to +2.5%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 1 of 5 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 89 m² against 83 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1950–1966 for D–G; 80% of C+ and 76% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +21% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +29.1% | +26.7% to +31.4% |
| Same floor area | +18.3% | +16.8% to +19.9% |
| + same property type | +15.6% | +14.2% to +17.0% |
| + same build period | +5.5% | +3.8% to +7.2% |
| + same year of sale | +1.1% | −0.3% to +2.5% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in ST7
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST7 1 | 1,917 | +31% | +2.1% | −1.0% to +5.2% |
| ST7 2 | 3,388 | +15% | +1.3% | −1.2% to +3.9% |
| ST7 3 | 1,247 | +6% | +2.0% | −1.2% to +5.3% |
| ST7 4 | 2,490 | +5% | +3.1% ▲ | +1.2% to +5.1% |
| ST7 8 | 1,327 | +19% | +0.6% | −3.0% to +4.3% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in ST7
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 20 | £3,035 |
| B | 1,909 | £2,612 |
| C | 2,157 | £2,173 |
| D | 4,656 | £2,086 |
| E | 1,335 | £1,853 |
| F | 225 | £1,608 |
| G | 67 | £1,597 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.