EPC rating and sold prices in ST5 (Newcastle-under-Lyme)
In postcode district ST5 (Newcastle-under-Lyme), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 17% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £2,200 vs £1,875, 13,077 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is −0.3% (95% range −1.5% to +0.9%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 2 of 10 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 84 m² against 83 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1930–1949 for D–G; 68% of C+ and 68% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +17% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +11.0% | +8.9% to +13.0% |
| Same floor area | +16.7% | +15.3% to +18.2% |
| + same property type | +10.8% | +9.6% to +12.1% |
| + same build period | +3.9% | +2.5% to +5.4% |
| + same year of sale | −0.3% | −1.5% to +0.9% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in ST5
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST5 0 | 1,763 | +19% | +3.7% ▲ | +0.6% to +6.9% |
| ST5 1 | 763 | +104% | +3.4% | −1.5% to +8.5% |
| ST5 2 | 1,511 | +13% | 0.0% | −3.2% to +3.4% |
| ST5 3 | 1,543 | −2% | +0.3% | −2.4% to +3.0% |
| ST5 4 | 1,065 | +3% | −1.6% | −3.9% to +0.8% |
| ST5 5 | 541 | +13% | +6.1% | −0.3% to +12.9% |
| ST5 6 | 1,379 | +19% | −0.7% | −4.1% to +2.9% |
| ST5 7 | 1,446 | +13% | −0.2% | −2.7% to +2.4% |
| ST5 8 | 1,831 | +18% | +3.7% ▲ | +1.0% to +6.4% |
| ST5 9 | 1,235 | +22% | −1.3% | −5.2% to +2.8% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in ST5
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 43 | £3,031 |
| B | 1,481 | £2,457 |
| C | 3,099 | £2,059 |
| D | 6,382 | £1,932 |
| E | 1,725 | £1,714 |
| F | 282 | £1,515 |
| G | 65 | £1,355 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.