EPC rating and sold prices in ST16 (Stafford)
In postcode district ST16 (Stafford), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 23% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £2,529 vs £2,055, 6,905 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — homes rated C or better sold for 2.6% less (95% range −3.9% to −1.2%). 1 of 3 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 87 m² against 83 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1900–1929 for D–G; 67% of C+ and 55% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +23% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +30.6% | +28.3% to +32.9% |
| Same floor area | +23.9% | +22.4% to +25.5% |
| + same property type | +18.0% | +16.7% to +19.4% |
| + same build period | +1.8% | +0.2% to +3.4% |
| + same year of sale | −2.6% | −3.9% to −1.2% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in ST16
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST16 1 | 3,736 | +22% | −1.6% | −3.9% to +0.8% |
| ST16 2 | 430 | +25% | +2.1% | −4.2% to +8.8% |
| ST16 3 | 2,739 | +14% | −4.0% ▼ | −5.7% to −2.2% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in ST16
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 73 | £3,190 |
| B | 1,961 | £2,700 |
| C | 1,338 | £2,226 |
| D | 2,726 | £2,123 |
| E | 668 | £1,816 |
| F | 120 | £1,661 |
| G | 19 | £1,462 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.