EPC rating and sold prices in SE16 (Southwark)
In postcode district SE16 (Southwark), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 6% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £7,356 vs £6,928, 5,424 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is +0.4% (95% range −1.1% to +1.9%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 2 of 6 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 67 m² against 66 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1983–1990 for D–G; 1% of C+ and 4% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +6% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +1.9% | −0.7% to +4.4% |
| Same floor area | +1.7% | 0.0% to +3.4% |
| + same property type | +4.6% | +3.0% to +6.3% |
| + same build period | +0.6% | −1.0% to +2.1% |
| + same year of sale | +0.4% | −1.1% to +1.9% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in SE16
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE16 2 | 508 | +6% | +0.3% | −4.3% to +5.1% |
| SE16 3 | 1,007 | +4% | −0.6% | −3.8% to +2.6% |
| SE16 4 | 708 | +8% | −5.3% ▼ | −9.1% to −1.3% |
| SE16 5 | 836 | +3% | +4.3% ▲ | +0.6% to +8.1% |
| SE16 6 | 680 | −1% | +0.3% | −3.4% to +4.1% |
| SE16 7 | 1,685 | +11% | +1.6% | −1.0% to +4.2% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in SE16
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 22 | £6,404 |
| B | 1,932 | £7,424 |
| C | 2,212 | £7,292 |
| D | 1,006 | £6,912 |
| E | 216 | £6,982 |
| F | 32 | £8,156 |
| G | 4 | too few |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.