EPC rating and sold prices in SA3 (Swansea)
In postcode district SA3 (Swansea), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 7% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £3,021 vs £2,836, 4,706 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — homes rated C or better sold for 3.4% more (95% range +1.3% to +5.5%). 3 of 4 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 95 m² against 105 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1967–1975 for D–G; 59% of C+ and 73% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +7% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +3.1% | −0.6% to +6.8% |
| Same floor area | +4.9% | +2.9% to +7.0% |
| + same property type | +7.4% | +5.3% to +9.5% |
| + same build period | +7.5% | +5.1% to +10.0% |
| + same year of sale | +3.4% | +1.3% to +5.5% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in SA3
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA3 1 | 356 | +5% | too few | — |
| SA3 2 | 404 | +4% | +8.1% ▲ | +1.7% to +14.9% |
| SA3 3 | 744 | −8% | −4.2% | −9.4% to +1.3% |
| SA3 4 | 1,619 | +18% | +7.8% ▲ | +4.3% to +11.5% |
| SA3 5 | 1,583 | +13% | +4.2% ▲ | +1.3% to +7.2% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in SA3
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 2 | too few |
| B | 352 | £3,125 |
| C | 1,103 | £2,969 |
| D | 2,013 | £2,857 |
| E | 886 | £2,732 |
| F | 273 | £2,908 |
| G | 77 | £2,802 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.