EPC rating and sold prices in PO22 (Arun)
In postcode district PO22 (Arun), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 1% less per square metre than D–G homes (median £3,486 vs £3,524, 6,378 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — homes rated C or better sold for 1.6% more (95% range +0.4% to +2.8%). 2 of 5 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 80 m² against 86 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1950–1966 for D–G; 54% of C+ and 73% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | −1% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | −8.1% | −10.1% to −5.9% |
| Same floor area | −3.4% | −4.6% to −2.1% |
| + same property type | +3.3% | +2.2% to +4.4% |
| + same build period | +3.8% | +2.4% to +5.2% |
| + same year of sale | +1.6% | +0.4% to +2.8% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in PO22
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PO22 0 | 1,034 | 0% | −2.6% | −6.0% to +0.9% |
| PO22 6 | 1,213 | +1% | +3.2% ▲ | +1.0% to +5.6% |
| PO22 7 | 1,244 | −9% | +2.7% | −0.5% to +5.9% |
| PO22 8 | 1,593 | −1% | +2.4% ▲ | +0.2% to +4.7% |
| PO22 9 | 1,294 | 0% | +1.7% | −0.3% to +3.7% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in PO22
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 5 | too few |
| B | 1,020 | £3,522 |
| C | 1,874 | £3,449 |
| D | 2,631 | £3,561 |
| E | 718 | £3,428 |
| F | 100 | £3,396 |
| G | 30 | £3,162 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.