EPC rating and sold prices in PE9 (South Kesteven)
In postcode district PE9 (South Kesteven), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 1% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £3,178 vs £3,152, 6,098 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is −1.1% (95% range −2.7% to +0.6%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 2 of 4 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 101 m² against 90 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1967–1975 for D–G; 61% of C+ and 69% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +1% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +6.5% | +3.6% to +9.5% |
| Same floor area | −0.9% | −2.3% to +0.7% |
| + same property type | +1.8% | +0.3% to +3.3% |
| + same build period | +2.7% | +0.8% to +4.6% |
| + same year of sale | −1.1% | −2.7% to +0.6% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in PE9
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE9 1 | 1,749 | −2% | +0.3% | −2.3% to +3.1% |
| PE9 2 | 2,304 | −1% | −2.9% ▼ | −5.3% to −0.5% |
| PE9 3 | 1,179 | 0% | −6.6% ▼ | −10.6% to −2.4% |
| PE9 4 | 866 | +4% | +1.0% | −2.4% to +4.4% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in PE9
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 3 | too few |
| B | 916 | £3,228 |
| C | 1,733 | £3,146 |
| D | 2,394 | £3,174 |
| E | 806 | £3,109 |
| F | 195 | £3,132 |
| G | 51 | £3,014 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.