EPC rating and sold prices in PE12 (South Holland)
In postcode district PE12 (South Holland), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 13% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £2,321 vs £2,045, 8,241 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — homes rated C or better sold for 2.0% more (95% range +0.8% to +3.1%). 2 of 5 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 95 m² against 93 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1983–1990 for D–G; 89% of C+ and 90% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +13% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +15.1% | +13.1% to +17.2% |
| Same floor area | +11.5% | +10.3% to +12.8% |
| + same property type | +14.8% | +13.6% to +16.0% |
| + same build period | +6.8% | +5.3% to +8.3% |
| + same year of sale | +2.0% | +0.8% to +3.1% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in PE12
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE12 0 | 1,060 | +14% | +3.7% | −0.4% to +8.0% |
| PE12 6 | 1,953 | +16% | +4.0% ▲ | +1.7% to +6.3% |
| PE12 7 | 2,086 | +14% | +3.4% ▲ | +1.4% to +5.5% |
| PE12 8 | 968 | +17% | +2.4% | −2.1% to +7.2% |
| PE12 9 | 2,174 | +7% | +1.0% | −1.1% to +3.2% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in PE12
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 82 | £2,824 |
| B | 1,524 | £2,435 |
| C | 1,611 | £2,114 |
| D | 3,355 | £2,105 |
| E | 1,190 | £1,955 |
| F | 395 | £1,870 |
| G | 84 | £1,746 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.