EPC rating and sold prices in NG1 (Nottingham)
In postcode district NG1 (Nottingham), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 4% less per square metre than D–G homes (median £2,199 vs £2,280, 1,396 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is +0.3% (95% range −3.1% to +3.7%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 1 of 2 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 64 m² against 66 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2003–2006 for C+ and 1900–1929 for D–G; 0% of C+ and 5% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | −4% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | −6.8% | −12.4% to −0.9% |
| Same floor area | −1.9% | −5.1% to +1.4% |
| + same property type | −1.2% | −4.4% to +2.1% |
| + same build period | +0.8% | −2.6% to +4.3% |
| + same year of sale | +0.3% | −3.1% to +3.7% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in NG1
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NG1 1 | 617 | +1% | +8.2% ▲ | +3.3% to +13.3% |
| NG1 3 | 170 | +1% | too few | — |
| NG1 4 | 86 | +11% | too few | — |
| NG1 5 | 273 | −9% | −7.5% | −14.7% to +0.2% |
| NG1 6 | 131 | +13% | too few | — |
| NG1 7 | 103 | −16% | too few | — |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in NG1
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 1 | too few |
| B | 289 | £2,146 |
| C | 630 | £2,220 |
| D | 301 | £2,396 |
| E | 139 | £2,093 |
| F | 29 | £2,159 |
| G | 7 | too few |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.