EPC rating and sold prices in LU7 (Central Bedfordshire)
In postcode district LU7 (Central Bedfordshire), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 2% less per square metre than D–G homes (median £3,731 vs £3,804, 13,279 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — homes rated C or better sold for 1.0% less (95% range −1.9% to −0.1%). 1 of 6 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 86 m² against 86 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1967–1975 for D–G; 55% of C+ and 61% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | −2% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | −4.7% | −6.0% to −3.3% |
| Same floor area | −3.7% | −4.5% to −2.9% |
| + same property type | +0.6% | −0.1% to +1.4% |
| + same build period | +2.0% | +1.0% to +3.1% |
| + same year of sale | −1.0% | −1.9% to −0.1% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in LU7
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LU7 0 | 1,685 | +3% | +1.4% | −0.9% to +3.7% |
| LU7 1 | 1,215 | −5% | +2.8% | −0.8% to +6.6% |
| LU7 2 | 2,014 | −2% | −1.4% | −2.9% to +0.2% |
| LU7 3 | 3,893 | +10% | +0.9% | −0.7% to +2.6% |
| LU7 4 | 2,360 | −5% | −2.1% | −4.1% to +0.1% |
| LU7 9 | 2,112 | −10% | +4.2% ▲ | +1.6% to +6.9% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in LU7
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 66 | £4,194 |
| B | 3,278 | £3,910 |
| C | 4,256 | £3,593 |
| D | 4,079 | £3,840 |
| E | 1,319 | £3,665 |
| F | 224 | £3,813 |
| G | 57 | £3,573 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.