EPC rating and sold prices in HA1 (Harrow)
In postcode district HA1 (Harrow), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 13% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £6,172 vs £5,455, 4,478 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — homes rated C or better sold for 2.6% less (95% range −4.5% to −0.6%). 1 of 4 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 67 m² against 92 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1900–1929 for D–G; 4% of C+ and 39% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +13% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | −21.3% | −23.2% to −19.3% |
| Same floor area | +2.0% | +0.4% to +3.5% |
| + same property type | +7.1% | +5.4% to +8.8% |
| + same build period | −1.4% | −3.4% to +0.6% |
| + same year of sale | −2.6% | −4.5% to −0.6% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in HA1
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HA1 1 | 942 | +22% | +1.5% | −2.2% to +5.5% |
| HA1 2 | 1,149 | +20% | −0.5% | −5.1% to +4.2% |
| HA1 3 | 832 | −1% | −8.1% ▼ | −12.7% to −3.2% |
| HA1 4 | 1,555 | +11% | −1.2% | −3.6% to +1.3% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in HA1
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| B | 1,545 | £6,410 |
| C | 892 | £5,485 |
| D | 1,363 | £5,505 |
| E | 562 | £5,418 |
| F | 91 | £5,044 |
| G | 25 | £5,283 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.