EPC rating and sold prices in DA16 (Bexley)
In postcode district DA16 (Bexley), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 3% less per square metre than D–G homes (median £4,595 vs £4,729, 4,825 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — homes rated C or better sold for 2.0% more (95% range +0.8% to +3.2%). 2 of 3 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 78 m² against 85 m² for D–G; both groups are most often built in 1930–1949; 36% of C+ and 65% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | −3% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | −11.3% | −13.8% to −8.7% |
| Same floor area | −6.7% | −8.4% to −5.1% |
| + same property type | +2.5% | +1.1% to +4.0% |
| + same build period | +5.4% | +3.9% to +6.9% |
| + same year of sale | +2.0% | +0.8% to +3.2% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in DA16
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DA16 1 | 1,708 | −2% | +3.2% ▲ | +1.5% to +4.8% |
| DA16 2 | 1,856 | −2% | +2.4% ▲ | +0.7% to +4.2% |
| DA16 3 | 1,261 | −2% | −0.7% | −3.5% to +2.2% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in DA16
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 8 | too few |
| B | 155 | £4,189 |
| C | 818 | £4,678 |
| D | 2,687 | £4,798 |
| E | 973 | £4,630 |
| F | 142 | £4,478 |
| G | 42 | £4,571 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.