EPC rating and sold prices in CM2 (Chelmsford)
In postcode district CM2 (Chelmsford), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 3% less per square metre than D–G homes (median £4,118 vs £4,250, 10,816 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — homes rated C or better sold for 1.0% less (95% range −1.8% to −0.3%). 3 of 5 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 73 m² against 84 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1950–1966 for D–G; 32% of C+ and 57% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | −3% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | −12.4% | −13.9% to −10.9% |
| Same floor area | −4.8% | −5.6% to −3.9% |
| + same property type | +2.3% | +1.5% to +3.2% |
| + same build period | +1.8% | +0.9% to +2.7% |
| + same year of sale | −1.0% | −1.8% to −0.3% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in CM2
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CM2 0 | 1,647 | −8% | +1.9% | −0.8% to +4.6% |
| CM2 6 | 3,013 | −1% | −1.6% ▼ | −2.8% to −0.3% |
| CM2 7 | 1,479 | −4% | −2.7% ▼ | −4.8% to −0.6% |
| CM2 8 | 1,913 | −4% | +0.2% | −1.4% to +1.7% |
| CM2 9 | 2,762 | −3% | +1.9% ▲ | +0.1% to +3.7% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in CM2
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 7 | too few |
| B | 1,236 | £4,168 |
| C | 3,559 | £4,104 |
| D | 4,447 | £4,270 |
| E | 1,324 | £4,198 |
| F | 185 | £4,000 |
| G | 58 | £3,987 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.