EPC rating and sold prices in CH5 (Flintshire)
In postcode district CH5 (Flintshire), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 20% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £2,272 vs £1,897, 6,502 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is +0.1% (95% range −1.2% to +1.4%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 1 of 4 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 86 m² against 86 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1950–1966 for D–G; 76% of C+ and 77% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +20% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +15.5% | +13.1% to +17.9% |
| Same floor area | +17.1% | +15.4% to +18.8% |
| + same property type | +15.8% | +14.3% to +17.3% |
| + same build period | +5.2% | +3.6% to +6.8% |
| + same year of sale | +0.1% | −1.2% to +1.4% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in CH5
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH5 1 | 992 | +13% | +0.8% | −2.3% to +4.0% |
| CH5 2 | 1,173 | +40% | −0.7% | −3.7% to +2.3% |
| CH5 3 | 1,801 | +7% | +3.6% ▲ | +1.3% to +6.0% |
| CH5 4 | 2,536 | +13% | +0.9% | −0.7% to +2.5% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in CH5
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 18 | £3,011 |
| B | 636 | £2,633 |
| C | 2,096 | £2,138 |
| D | 2,943 | £1,946 |
| E | 633 | £1,729 |
| F | 136 | £1,782 |
| G | 40 | £1,591 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.