EPC rating and sold prices in CF44 (Rhondda Cynon Taf)
In postcode district CF44 (Rhondda Cynon Taf), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 46% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £1,810 vs £1,239, 6,061 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is +2.1% (95% range −0.1% to +4.4%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 1 of 5 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 94 m² against 83 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2012 onwards for C+ and 1900–1929 for D–G; 68% of C+ and 34% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +46% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +61.4% | +57.0% to +66.0% |
| Same floor area | +40.3% | +37.2% to +43.5% |
| + same property type | +22.4% | +19.9% to +24.9% |
| + same build period | +11.9% | +8.9% to +14.9% |
| + same year of sale | +2.1% | −0.1% to +4.4% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in CF44
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF44 0 | 1,317 | +19% | −0.3% | −4.9% to +4.6% |
| CF44 6 | 1,703 | +76% | +4.0% | −1.3% to +9.6% |
| CF44 7 | 622 | +8% | +1.8% | −5.2% to +9.4% |
| CF44 8 | 1,372 | +42% | +4.2% ▲ | +0.7% to +7.9% |
| CF44 9 | 1,047 | +36% | −0.3% | −4.9% to +4.6% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in CF44
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 21 | £2,713 |
| B | 606 | £2,056 |
| C | 1,402 | £1,644 |
| D | 2,774 | £1,304 |
| E | 1,033 | £1,087 |
| F | 188 | £1,097 |
| G | 37 | £799 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.