EPC rating and sold prices in CF33 (Bridgend)
In postcode district CF33 (Bridgend), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 19% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £1,905 vs £1,603, 2,020 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is 0.0% (95% range −2.6% to +2.7%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 0 of 2 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 86 m² against 90 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2003–2006 for C+ and 1950–1966 for D–G; 67% of C+ and 64% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +19% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +15.0% | +10.9% to +19.1% |
| Same floor area | +16.6% | +13.5% to +19.8% |
| + same property type | +13.2% | +10.4% to +16.0% |
| + same build period | +7.9% | +4.2% to +11.6% |
| + same year of sale | 0.0% | −2.6% to +2.7% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in CF33
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF33 4 | 1,096 | +10% | −2.4% | −6.2% to +1.7% |
| CF33 6 | 924 | +21% | −0.1% | −3.3% to +3.3% |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in CF33
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| B | 155 | £1,959 |
| C | 686 | £1,872 |
| D | 827 | £1,684 |
| E | 293 | £1,478 |
| F | 55 | £1,235 |
| G | 4 | too few |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.