EPC rating and sold prices in B21 (Birmingham)
In postcode district B21 (Birmingham), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 24% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £1,859 vs £1,500, 1,600 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — the difference is +3.0% (95% range −1.7% to +7.8%): the EPC band itself is not reflected in sale prices here. 1 of 1 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 88 m² against 85 m² for D–G; both groups are most often built in 1900–1929; 36% of C+ and 24% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +24% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +21.8% | +13.8% to +30.3% |
| Same floor area | +20.5% | +13.9% to +27.6% |
| + same property type | +16.7% | +10.5% to +23.2% |
| + same build period | +11.0% | +4.3% to +18.1% |
| + same year of sale | +3.0% | −1.7% to +7.8% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in B21
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B21 0 | 514 | +28% | +8.5% ▲ | +1.5% to +16.0% |
| B21 8 | 648 | +16% | too few | — |
| B21 9 | 438 | +33% | too few | — |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in B21
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| B | 11 | £1,863 |
| C | 129 | £1,857 |
| D | 898 | £1,624 |
| E | 463 | £1,379 |
| F | 75 | £1,183 |
| G | 24 | £1,405 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.