EPC rating and sold prices in B18 (Birmingham)
In postcode district B18 (Birmingham), homes rated EPC C or better sold for 52% more per square metre than D–G homes (median £2,592 vs £1,710, 1,044 sales). Like for like — same size, type, build period and year — homes rated C or better sold for 5.2% more (95% range +1.0% to +9.6%). 0 of 1 sectors with enough sales show a difference distinguishable from zero. Data: HM Land Registry to 30 September 2026, EPC register.
From the raw gap to like-for-like
The homes are not alike: C+ homes here have a median floor area of 71 m² against 71 m² for D–G; the most common build period is 2003–2006 for C+ and 1900–1929 for D–G; 6% of C+ and 10% of D–G sales are detached or semi-detached houses.
| Comparing C+ with D–G homes… | Difference | 95% range |
|---|---|---|
| Raw gap per m² (medians) | +52% | — |
| Whole price, nothing held equal | +40.7% | +33.7% to +48.1% |
| Same floor area | +40.7% | +34.4% to +47.3% |
| + same property type | +22.5% | +16.4% to +29.0% |
| + same build period | +8.0% | +3.0% to +13.2% |
| + same year of sale | +5.2% | +1.0% to +9.6% |
The first row compares median prices per m²; the second compares whole prices; each later row adds one more thing that must be equal, ending with the like-for-like premium (regression of log price; build period from the certificate, 12 bands). The raw gap per m² and the whole-price gap differ because C+ and D–G homes differ in size.
Postcode sectors in B18
| Sector | Sales | Raw gap | Like-for-like | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B18 4 | 283 | +22% | too few | — |
| B18 5 | 221 | +12% | too few | — |
| B18 6 | 397 | 0% | −1.1% | −5.0% to +2.9% |
| B18 7 | 143 | +10% | too few | — |
▲ green: premium distinguishable from zero; ▼ red: discount; plain: no measurable difference. Small areas have fewer sales, so their 95% ranges are wider.
Sold prices by EPC band in B18
| EPC band (last certificate before sale) | Sales | Median £ per m² |
|---|---|---|
| A | 1 | too few |
| B | 57 | £2,727 |
| C | 446 | £2,583 |
| D | 387 | £1,806 |
| E | 111 | £1,625 |
| F | 29 | £1,351 |
| G | 13 | £1,000 |
A median is shown when a band has at least 10 sales.
How this is calculated
- Every standard sale (HM Land Registry Price Paid, category A) since January 2015 is matched to the latest energy certificate of the same address (postcode + house number or name + flat) lodged from 10 years before to 3 months after the sale; sales with no certificate or an ambiguous match are left out. Across England and Wales 92% of sales match.
- Price per m² uses the certificate's total floor area (15–1,000 m²).
- Like-for-like premium: regression of the log of price on “C or better”, log floor area, property type, the certificate's build period and the year of sale. The 95% range shows how precise the estimate is; when it includes zero, the data cannot tell the premium apart from none.
Caveats
- The band is the one on the certificate before the sale; certificates are a median 0.8 years old at the sale, but a quarter are over 4 years old and some homes were improved since.
- Condition, garden, parking, views and the exact position within the sector are not known; a premium could hide in them, or they could hide one.
- Individual sales and addresses are not shown.